stocks

What The Stock Market Is Going To Do

October 19, 2011

Breaking to the upside?

I get a broad view of the news everyday just to gauge the mood of the market. This is what I noted today.

We have lots of doom and gloom. No surprise there. But I also note that the tone of the news went from “there are some negatives” to “there are some positives”.

If I had to speculate I’d say that from this point we have a shift in market mood. That jives with the way the stock markets have been trading over the last week.

We’re at a pivot point in the markets and that point may be up. I’ll try to not let my perpetual bear feelings influence my objectivity and let my charts tell me which way things go from here.

Hint?: While I’m on the subject of the markets… Didn’t the last hour of yesterday’s trading seem like a blow-off top?

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Not Every Day But…

October 4, 2010

Here are the three things I did differently today.

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Quick Update – TTAM – 8/19/10

August 19, 2010

It was especially worrisome because yesterday…

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Hot Stock Tip Of The Year

January 12, 2010

I spend an excruciating amount of time searching for and analyzing any given stock before purchasing it.

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Shhh… Super-Secret Year-end Trading Update

December 29, 2009

This is for only select people. If you are not one of these people, and you know who you are, don’t read this.

I’m only $2k, or there abouts, from finishing the year with $100k in the Trading To A Million Account.

Updates coming soon.

Patrick

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The Yuppie Bounce (reprise) The Reformed Broker

December 27, 2009

What a great post.  I’m just sorry I didn’t post something similar.  It was great to read from another source that what we are told about investing in the mainstream media doesn’t always hardly ever is true in practice.

The Yuppie Bounce (reprise) The Reformed Broker

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What Should I Do? What Should I Do…

December 7, 2009
The J curve shows the effect of a devaluation ...
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I’ve been sitting on a put since Nov. 27th and doubled the position on Dec. 4th.

In this low-volatility period I have tried not to second-guess myself. The position gave me several times that I could have gotten out with a decent profit but I wasn’t technically convinced that I should shouldn’t bail, so I stayed in.

Now, the Q’s are nearing the break-even point and I’m sure my put will shortly be there too.

Are there any of you out there that would like to weigh in on what I should do at that point?

Patrick

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Portfolio Review – Normal Doesn’t Count

November 27, 2009

So year over year performance of this portfolio stands at a gain of 338%. My goal was to best the S&P by 100% so I’m there. It’s at about 60%.

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Still A Monday Morning

November 23, 2009

It’s still morning here in the Mid-west but the trading day is well under way. I started the week holding a put from last Wednesday that I bought on a 30-min chart. It hit my stop today and so I exited with minimal profit.

With the holidays coming I decided that it wasn’t worth trying play volatility. Those that create volatility are starting to wind down their positions and will continue to do so until the end of the year.

So to better reflect the lower volatility I’ve moved back to my 5-min charts but with an emphasis on tracking the A/D difference.

It seems to help. I entered another put (same put, lower price) at $1.28 and currently it’s at $1.45. Not bad. But as it is said, “The proof is in the pudding”. We’ll see where I get out.

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Violating Your Own Stock Trading Rules – Don’t Do It

November 4, 2009

No matter how tempting it is violating your trading rules is never a good idea. This reminder came to me as an example to me when I violated my own trading rules a couple of times over the last two days.

The very first violation cost my portfolio $5K plus. The second made a measly $50. I immediately considered violating my rules another time but I remembered the adage, “Patience is a virtue”, and so stopped myself.

I’ll get around to revisiting this episode of trading later but for now let this serve as a reminder, “Never violate your own stock trading rules.”

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